Измерение потенциала адаптации к изменению климата в Центральной Азии

Рахат Сабырбеков ^a,b*, Индра Оверленд ^c

^a Академия ОБСЕ, Ботанический переулок, 1А, Бишкек, 720044, Кыргызстан
^b Центр Дэвиса по изучению России и Евразии, Гарвардский университет, 1730 Cambridge Street, MA 02138, Кембридж
^c Норвежский институт международных отношений, PB 7024 St. Olavs Plass, OSLO, 0130, Норвегия

*Email: rsabyrbekov@fas.harvard.edu

Индра Оверленд : ino@nupi.no

https://doi.org/10.29258/CAJSCR/2023-R1.v2-1/83-104.eng

12 августа, 2023

Аннотация

Изменение климата представляет собой серьезную угрозу для региона Центральной Азии, усугубляя уже существующие уязвимые места и вызывая необходимость активизации усилий по адаптации. Экономические и экологические потери от этих изменяющихся климатических условий значительны, что вынуждает правительства стран укреплять свой адаптационный потенциал. В этом исследовании мы используем подход к адаптации Рамочной конвенции Организации Объединенных Наций об изменении климата (РКИК ООН) и высококачественные данные для количественной оценки способности стран Центральной Азии адаптироваться к последствиям изменения климата. Наша основная цель – сравнить прогресс в адаптации в странах Центральной Азии с прогрессом в странах за пределами региона. Результаты нашего анализа показывают, что, несмотря на объявленные стратегии адаптации, Центральная Азия отстает в этой важной области. Низким показателям адаптации в регионе способствуют несколько факторов, в том числе сильная зависимость от ископаемого топлива, ресурсоемкая экономика и ограниченный инновационный потенциал. Этот недостаток адаптивной готовности делает страны Центральной Азии плохо подготовленными к надвигающимся последствиям изменения климата. Лица принимающим решения необходимо принять срочные действия, чтобы устранить это пробел, сформулировать эффективные стратегии адаптации и защитить будущую устойчивость региона.

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For citation: Sabyrbekov, R., Overland, I., (2023). Measuring the Capacity for Adaptation to Climate Change in Central Asia. Central Asian Journal of Sustainability and Climate Research.  https://doi.org/10.29258/CAJSCR/2023-R1.v2-1/83-104.eng

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