Изменение климата, эмиссия СО2 и экономическое развитие: данные по Казахстану

Арсен Тлеппаев ^a*, Сауле Зейнолла ^b

^a Казахстанско-Немецкий университет, ул. Пушкина, 111, Алматы, 050010, Казахстан
^b Нархоз Университет, ул. Жандосова, 55, Алматы, 050035, Казахстан

*Email: arsentlp@gmail.com

Сауле Зейнолла: zeinollasaule@gmail.com

https://doi.org/10.29258/CAJSCR/2023-R1.v2-1/62-82.eng

5 августа, 2023

Аннотация

Цель данного исследования — выявить взаимосвязь между выбросами CO2 и экономическим ростом для оценки влияния на изменение климата.

Дизайн: Для обеспечения исследования был выбран алгоритм: статистический и сравнительный анализ, корреляционный и регрессионный анализ. Данные за 1999-2020 гг. были получены с Всемирного банка и Бюро национальной статистики.

Результаты: Рассмотрев условия и факторы, влияющие на энергетическую систему Казахстана, мы считаем необходимым изучить, как различные факторы влияют на экономический рост, уделяя особое внимание изменению окружающей среды. Результаты моделирования с помощью регрессионных моделей подтверждают это. Модель выбросов CO2 показала, что наиболее существенное влияние оказывает энергопотребление, однако в модели ВВП все факторы, такие как урбанизация, энергопотребление и ценообразование на энергоносители, оказывали одинаковое влияние.

Ограничения исследования: Несмотря на то что тестирование свидетельствует о значимости полученных результатов, предполагается расширение исследования за счет включения других факторов, в частности связанных с техническим прогрессом и страновым анализом.

Заключение: Рассмотрев условия и факторы, влияющие на энергетическую систему Казахстана, мы считаем необходимым изучить, как различные факторы по странам влияют на экономический рост с акцентом на экологические изменения. Результаты исследования могут быть использованы для более глубокого понимания ситуации и выработки практических предложений по формированию государственной политики.

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For citation: Tleppayev, A., Zeinolla, S. (2023). Climate change, co2 emission, and economic development: evidence from Kazakhstan. Central Asian Journal of Sustainability and Climate Research.  https://doi.org/10.29258/CAJSCR/2023-R1.v2-1/62-82.eng

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